Picks From The Paddock Best Bet – Monday 19th November

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Sunblazer (William Twiston-Davies) wins the 2m handicap Wolverhampton 8.2.16 Pic: Edward Whitaker

16:30 Kempton

Arch My Boy won by eight lengths at Nottingham last month and a similar run today could see him tough to beat, although there is no guarantee that he will prove as effective on this surface or over this shorter trip so for these reasons I would be happy to look elsewhere.

Quicksand was third to Lah Ti Dar on racecourse debut and was a course and distance winner when last seen in September. After only two runs he is open to further improvement and is capable of making his presence felt.

Silver River won well over course and distance last time out, stepping up from his debut third to justify favouritism and win by just over a length. Another open to further improvement, he is unlikely to be too far away.

Confederate was only sixth on debut, finishing six lengths behind Silver River, but made up a fair bit of ground in the final couple of furlongs and would have learnt a lot from that performance. James Doyle has a great record at the course and a 30% winning strike rate when riding for the trainer so his booking could make the difference.

Confederate (WIN)

 

Hereford

12:45 – Shows Over (WIN)

13:15 – Giving Glances (WIN)

13:45 – Embole (WIN)

14:15 – Commander Miller (WIN)

14:45 – Zoffany Bay (WIN)

15:20 – Love The Leader (WIN)

15:50 – Dancingwith Storms (WIN)

 

Kempton

16:00 – Invincibella (E/W)

16:30 – Confederate (WIN)

17:00 – Highlight Reel (WIN)

17:30 – Bredon (E/W)

18:00 – Magellan (E/W)

18:30 – Sunblazer (WIN)*

19:00 – Black Isle Boy (WIN)

 

Plumpton

12:30 – Commanche Red (WIN)

13:00 – Chosen Path (WIN)

13:30 – Kristal Hart (WIN)

14:00 – Winter Spice (WIN)

14:30 – Mr Raj (WIN)

15:05 – Bermeo (WIN)

15:35 – Lamh Ar Lamh (WIN)

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